Baylor Bears Face UCF Knights in High-Scoring Big 12 Clash

Baylor and the University of Central Florida meet on Friday night in Orlando. The game is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET at Acrisure Bounce House. Bettors are pricing the game as a high-scoring affair. The current over/under sits at 49.5 points. Baylor holds a 1.5-point favorite position in the odds.

Both teams enter the contest with a 4-3 record. They are also tied for seventh place in the Big 12 Conference. Baylor is 1-1 on the road this season. UCF has won four straight games at home in 2026. The Knights have lost two of their last three outings. Baylor fell 25-24 at Kansas on Saturday. UCF beat BYU 39-31 in overtime on the same day.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated this matchup 10,000 times. The model predicts a combined 54 points from both offenses. This projection supports the Over bet. The Over hit in two of the three previous meetings between these schools. It is also 6-4 in the last 10 UCF games. UCF averages 32.7 points per game this season. Baylor averages 29.1 points per game.

The model projects specific production for the starting quarterbacks. It expects Baylor’s D.J. Lagway to throw for over 260 yards and two touchdowns. For UCF, the model projects Keyone Jenkins will exceed 210 passing yards and two scores. These numbers align with the teams' recent offensive outputs.

Baylor leads the all-time series 2-1. The Bears won their last meeting last year by a score of 30-3. Both teams are 5-2 against the spread this season. The SportsLine model is currently on a 68-59 record for top-rated college football picks. That record has returned nearly $400 for players who bet $100.

The game is the ninth week of the college football season. It serves as a key conference matchup for both squads. The result will determine their standing in the Big 12 race. Fans can watch the action live from Orlando on Friday night.